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China's raisin exports surge more than 200%!
2026-01-27
The USDA's recently released "2025 China Raisin Annual Report" shows that my country's raisin production is projected to rebound to 200,000 tons in the 2025/26 season (August 2025 to July of the following year), an 18% increase from the previous season. Due to reduced supply from Turkey, my country's raisin exports surged by 228% in the 2023/24 season. Driven by strong international demand, the average export price of my country's raisins is currently up 13% year-on-year. With the continuous improvement in the quality of Chinese raisins, exports are expected to continue to grow. Meanwhile, raisin imports are expected to decline further.
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Production: my country's raisin production is projected to increase by nearly 18% in the 2025/26 season, reaching 200,000 tons. Xinjiang accounts for approximately 95% of my country's total raisin production, with Turpan remaining the largest raisin-producing area within Xinjiang. Turpan experienced high temperatures last season, which negatively impacted grape pollination, resulting in a reduction in fresh table grape production. According to local media reports, grape production in the Turpan region is projected to reach 1.6 million tons in the 2025/26 season. Weak market prices for fresh table grapes (especially the Shine Muscat variety) in the 2025/26 season have prompted producers to shift more towards raisin processing. Typically, about 70% of Turpan's fresh table grapes are processed into raisins.
Local raisin processing companies report that the quality of Xinjiang raisins continues to improve in the 2025/26 season thanks to upgrades in processing facilities. Currently, the ratio of green to Black Raisins is estimated at 60% to 40%, but strong international demand for black raisins is expected to increase their share in the 2025/26 season.
Trade and industry sources indicate that raisin stocks (mainly in Turpan) are at very low levels at the beginning of the 2025/26 season. Strong exports coupled with reduced domestic production have led to the decline in stocks. According to traders, the export boom has almost absorbed all carryover stocks, which were estimated at 5,000 to 10,000 tons at the beginning of the 2024/25 season.
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Trade: Malaysia's raisin exports are expected to continue rising, driven by improved quality and competitive pricing. Traders point out that despite rising export prices, Malaysian raisins remain competitive in the international market. Malaysia primarily exports black raisins, which are used as food ingredients by buyers in Europe, Southeast Asia, and Australia. Small quantities of Green Raisins are also exported to Japan, the Middle East, and South Asia as snacks. Customs data shows a significant expansion in Malaysia's raisin exports in the 2023/24 season, surging by 228%. This was mainly due to the continued severe impact of mycorrhizal fungus on grape production in Turkey, a major global supplier, resulting in a substantial reduction in raisin supply, which Malaysia filled.